Sunday, 9 May 2021

Population of Pakistan, Pakistan Population Growth Rate, Economic Survey


OUTLINE

Ø  Indicators

Ø  Population Growth Rate

Ø  Population growth rate in Pakistan

Ø  Task Force

Ø  National Level Task Force

Ø  Total Fertility

Ø  Labour force and Employment

Ø  Labour Force Statistics

Ø  Formal and Informal Employment

·         Informal Employment

·         Formal Employment

Ø  Factors Behind Decline in Manpower Export

·         Internal Factors

·         External Factors


Population-of-Pakista-Pakistan-Population-Growth-Rate-Economic-Survey


Indicators

                          Demographic Indicators (2017-18)

 

·         Total population                                      212.82 Million (Approx.)

·         Population growth rate                            2.4%

·         Total fertility rate                                     3.6

·         Total fertility rate                                    3.6

Source: NIPS, Pakistan Demographic and Health Survey 2017-18, Ministry of Planning, Development and Reform,

 

 

 

Population Growth Rate

          The "population growth rate" is the rate at which the number of individuals in a population increases in a given time period, expressed as a fraction of the initial population.

 

Population growth rate in Pakistan

The population growth rate at 2.4 percent as depicted by the census 2017 was alarming.

The Honorable Supreme Court of Pakistan, taking Family Planning as a human rights issue, took Suo Moto Notice on 4th July 2018 and constituted a Task Force.

 

Task Force

The Task Force, after a series of meetings, framed a set of recommendations aiming at enhancing contraceptive prevalence rate (CPR) to 55 percent, lowering total fertility rate (TFR) to 2.1 and bringing down population growth rate to 1.5 percent. These recommendations were placed before the Supreme Court Bench and were thereafter approved with the following key points:

1.     Establish national and provincial task forces for steering, providing oversight and taking critical decisions to reduce population growth, decrease fertility rate and increase contraceptive prevalence rate

2.     Ensure universal access to Family Planning /Reproductive Health services.

3.     Federal government to create a five-year non-lapsable special fund for reducing population growth rate with an annual allocation of Rs10 billion. The fund shall be set up exclusively from federal resources without any cut from provincial funds

4.     Introduce and implement legislation for population growth control

5.     Advocate and communicate a national narrative of reducing population growth rate and achieve socio-economic wellbeing for all

6.     Introduce curriculum on health, hygiene and population control in the primary, secondary schools, college and universities

7.     Contraceptive commodity security

8.     Joint declaration of Ulema made at Population Summit-2015, Islamabad to be widely advocated

 

The Council of Common Interest (CCI) approved all the recommendations in principle. These recommendations would be implemented by the federal and provincial governments with active support from private sector, civil society organizations and international development partners.

 

National Level Task Force

                 The federal government formed a taskforce on Population and Family Planning on 4th December 2018. This taskforce is headed by the Prime Minister and has representation of Chief Ministers from four provinces. The main purpose of this task force is to devise Strategy/ Action Plan and its best implementation, to achieve the desired objectives and targets relating to population.

 

               The provincial governments have also formed their respective taskforces which are headed by their Chief Minister along with other stakeholders as their members. The purpose is to have highest level commitment from the provinces so that a coordinated strategy is developed to tackle the population issue.

 

·         The Punjab and Sindh Provincial Taskforces were formed on 30th November 2018.

·         the Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Provincial Taskforce was formed on 29th November 2018.

·         Baluchistan Taskforce formation is still in process.

 

Total Fertility

The term “total fertility rate” is used to describe the total number of children an average women in a population is likely to have, based on current birth rates throughout her life.

Pakistan Demographic and Health Survey (PDHS) 2017-18 the total fertility rate has dropped from 3.8 percent in 2012-13 to 3.6 percent in 2017-18.

The total fertility rate is higher in Pakistan as compare to other neighboring countries

 

Allocation for Population Welfare Departments (2018-19)

the Population Welfare Departments of the provinces and the federal government supports the provinces in allocating significant funding through Public Sector Development Programs (PSDP). An amount of Rs 510.919 million has been allocated for Population Welfare Program in Punjab, Sindh, Balochistan, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Gilgit – Baltistan, AJK, and Merged Areas.

 

 

Service Delivery Centers 2018-19

·         Family Welfare Centers (FWCs) is one of the main service delivery networks established in rural and urban areas to  providing the facilities to the people

 

·         Reproductive Health Services-A Centers (RHS-A) are hospital based units which provide infertility treatment with full range of family planning methods including contraceptive surgery services. There are 271 RHS-A centers functioning throughout the country.

 

 

·         Mobile Service Units (MSU) provides reproductive health services and family planning services to villages through regular camping services. There are 303 MSU providing their services.

 

·         Lady Health Workers (LHWs) go door to door for health issues like dengue, polio, measles, and other vaccinations for many other preventive health care problems The Family Planning and Primary Health Care (FP &PHC) program so far has recruited more than 100,000 lady health workers (LHWs)

 

 

·         Currently, 1678 Male Mobilzers and 600 Community Based Workers (Female) are promoting the objective of the family welfare programs and creating awareness among people.

 

 

 

 

Labour force and Employment

Employment growth is a challenge for any developing, labour abundant economy. The present government has taken special initiatives to fulfill its commitment to create 10 million jobs during its tenure.  

 

Kamyab Jawan (SME) program

 In order to generate more job opportunities for the youth, the government has launched a new program – the Kamyab Jawan program. Under this program, the National Bank of Pakistan, Bank of Punjab and Bank of Khyber will provide low cost loans to the youth (between 21 – 45 years) for establishing small businesses enterprises.

Employment Generation under CPEC Program

The early harvest projects under China Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) have created more than 75,000 direct jobs and 200,000 allied jobs for Pakistanis while the midterm and long projects under CPEC are poised to create more than 700,000 employment opportunities in the country.

Skill Development Program

·         The government has accorded high priority to skill development.

 

·         Pakistan is now a member of the World-Skills which is the collective voice for skills excellence and development in vocational, technological and service oriented careers around the globe.

 

·         Special emphasis has been laid on giving pivotal role to industry and private sector in TVET sector development.  Three Sector Skill Councils (SSCs), National Skill Council (NSC) and The concept of Institute Management Committees (IMCs) has been introduced for the first time in Pakistan at the TVET institute level.

 

·         A large number of Pakistani youth acquires training through informal sector; known as the "Ustad-Shagird" system. To enhance employment prospects for such youth, a system “Recognition of Prior Learning” (RPL) has been launched as a tool to recognize/certify the skills acquired through informal/unregulated means.

 

 

·         Internationally recognized, Competency based training (CBT) modules have been introduced in the country to replace the traditional mode of training.

 

Labour Force Statistics

§  According to Labour Force Survey, 2017-18, the unemployment rate has decreased to 5.79 percent in 2017-18.

§  Overall crude participation rate has decreased from 32.27 percent in 2014-15 to 31.70 percent in 2017-18, showing 0.57 percent decrease.

§  In 2017-18 total civilian labour force was 65.50 million consisting of 50.74 million males and 14.76 million females.

§  Out of this 61.71 million (94.21 percent) are employed persons and remaining 3.79 million (5.79 percent) are unemployed persons

 

Women’s Employment

 Pakistan had a Gender Inequality Index (GII) ranking of 133 in the 20171 . It is not an encouraging sign that female participating in the labour market is also decreasing with the passage of time, viz, from 15.8 percent in 2014-15 to 14.5 percent in 2017-18. The Labour Force Survey 2017-18, indicates that women are concentrated in agriculture with a share of 67 percent¸ in manufacturing 16 percent and in community and personal services they have a share of 14.6 percent.

In the case of occupational groups, women are mostly working as skilled agricultural workers 55 percent, elementary/unskilled workers 18 percent, and craft and related trade workers 14 percent.

Unemployment by Age

According to Labour Force Survey 2017-18 the overall unemployment rate was 5.79 percent. youth unemployment rate is quite high as compared to the average unemployment rate.

The unemployment situation in the region is comparatively better than in Pakistan except Iran. The unemployment statistics shows that Pakistan's unemployment rate at 5.79 percent is higher than that of India (2.6 percent), Bangladesh (4.3 percent), and Sri-Lanka (4.4 percent).

 

 

Formal and Informal Employment

 

 Informal Employment

The informal sector plays an important and controversial role

§  The key sectors of employment in the informal economy are wholesale & retail trade, manufacturing, community/social and personal services, construction and transport.

§  The informal workers are not regulated by labour laws or protected by the state.

§  The informal economy provides jobs and help to reduce unemployment but in many cases jobs are low paid.

§  The employment ratio in rural informal sector is 76.0 percent which is higher as compared to that in urban areas (68.3 percent) in 2017-18.

 

Formal Employment

§  Formal sector did not show considerable changes with respect to employment level during 2015- 2018 period

§  total employment in this sector marginally increased from 27.4 percent to 28.0 percent.

 

Overseas Employment

Migration has an important role in respect of employment creation and poverty eradication. Pakistan is one of the largest labour exporting countries of the region and since 1971 more than 10.61 million Pakistanis have proceeded abroad for employment.

It is evident that there is a major decline in manpower export to Saudi Arabia where only 100910 emigrants proceeded for employment in year 2018 as compared to 2017, a drop of 42453 emigrants

Manpower export to UAE also decreased in 2018.

Malaysia emerged as an important destination country for Pakistani workers as in 2018 an increase of 38 percent manpower export towards Malaysia was observed as compared to 2017

during 2018, the highest number of workers who went abroad was 185,902 from Punjab, followed by Khyber Pakhtunkhwa 88,361.

Pakistan has a remarkable human resource which is classified into five occupational categories i.e highly qualified, highly skilled, skilled, semiskilled and un-skilled. During 2018, there has been a declining trend in all occupational groups except in the highly qualified category

 

Factors Behind Decline in Manpower Export

The major factors behind recent decline in manpower export:

 

Internal Factors

§  Lack of skills according to required standards

§  Low productivity of majority of training institutes

§  Lack of awareness about foreign job opportunities

§  Shortage of internationally accredited technical institutes

 

External Factors

§  Global economic slowdown

§  Euro-zone crisis and Stringent US Immigration Policies

 

 

                                                                                                  Thank You

R. Bloom
R. Bloom

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